As our planet races towards a climate emergency, there is hope from some people that renewable energy will come to the rescue.
Solar photovoltaic (PV) technology has evolved steadily since it was first developed by Bell Labs in 1954. It is now scalable, easily integrated with other energy technologies including batteries, and the cost of modules (commonly known as panels) has decreased by 80 per cent since 2009.
Decades of improvements in engineering and manufacturing processes have led to moderately efficient, low environmental impact, silicon-based crystalline solar modules that fill rooftops and fields around the world.
This is all about to change with new technology based on manufacturing techniques that use more toxic chemicals, including nanomaterials. Next-generation solar modules offer a lot of potential but might be more toxic than we expect.
Solar cells, the units that convert light into electricity, have been encapsulated in a variety of coatings to build solar roads, sidewalks and bicycle paths. The International Space Station and many satellites also rely on this technology, and new electric vehicles like the Tesla Cybertruck offer on-board solar modules for charging.
My project at Thompson Rivers University shows how this is being done in Canada. This project — known as the Solar Compass — is part of Canada’s first solar sidewalk system.
According to a forecast published by the International Energy Agency in 2019:
“Renewable power capacity is set to expand by 50 per cent between 2019 and 2024, led by solar PV. This increase of 1,200 gigawatts is equivalent to the total installed power capacity of the United States today. Solar PV alone accounts for almost 60 per cent of the expected growth, with onshore wind representing one-quarter.”
In 2018, the World Economic Forum estimated that 70,000 solar modules will be installed every hour on a global basis over the next five years.
Solar PV avoided the equivalent of 2.1 million tonnes of carbon dioxide in Canada in 2016, according to a calculator made available by the International Renewable Energy Agency.
Crystalline silicon cells are the most common technology in use today, claiming more than 90 per cent of the global market. Lifecycle analyses show they have superior performance to most other energy sources.
Most commercial modules have a conversion efficiency — the fraction of solar energy that is converted into usable electricity — of 15-20 per cent.
A meta-analysis by the U.S. National Renewable Energy Laboratory estimates that such solar modules have an environmental footprint that is less than half that of nuclear energy, and 28 per cent of coal power.
The next generation of solar modules promises higher conversion efficiency, lower cost and will use less raw materials to manufacture. Many of these newer module types contain highly toxic chemicals.
Next-generation solar modules
Several kinds of thin-film solar modules are available or under development. Their manufacture uses about one per cent of the silicon needed to make a crystalline silicon module, but their conversion efficiency is only in the six per cent range.
They are flexible, lightweight and durable, and can be bonded directly onto curved surfaces, including glass, stainless steel or plastic. However, they can degrade at a faster rate than crystalline silicon, reducing the lifespan.
Cadmium-telluride thin-film modules are the second-most common photovoltaic (PV) technology in the world. They currently represent five per cent of the world market. They can be manufactured quickly and inexpensively. Lab tests show their conversion efficiency as high as 22.1 per cent.
Films, paints and coatings
Organic films begin with a roll of thin plastic. Photovoltaic compounds including nanomaterials like carbon fullerenes, a molecular form of carbon, are then dissolved in ink and printed onto the film.
These films can be applied to building façades and are suitable for encapsulation in glass windows as part of the lamination process. Such films are ultra-light, flexible and can be customized. They are 20 times lighter than a piece of office paper.
Although promising, thin film solar is currently chemically and physically unstable, reducing its reliability and overall lifespan. Its lower efficiency also means more space is required to achieve the equivalent energy production of crystalline solar modules.
One promising future solar application is the development of paints and coatings that generate electricity. Using nanomaterials known as quantum dots, a manufactured crystal that can transport electrons like a semiconductor, these materials may one day be applied to buildings, vehicles and other structures.
The thin nature of the material creates some challenges with respect to durability and evenness of application. Solar paints may approach 10 per cent efficiency, which may make this technology viable given the massive amount of surface area in our built environments.
The efficiency-toxicity tradeoff
Decades of experience with crystalline silicon solar modules has led to many improvements. Chief among these is the steady decrease in the environmental footprint of these modules.
But many of the next generation solar technologies rely on nanomaterials and include toxic heavy metals like lead and cadmium. Current regulatory systems for assessing and managing the risks nanomaterials pose to human health and the environment may be inadequate.
Next generation solar technologies, especially thin film, show tremendous promise. Yet we need a fuller understanding of their toxic footprints, better regulatory regimes for nanomaterials, cleaner manufacturing processes and more solar module recycling programs to truly capitalize on the sustainability advantage that solar offers humanity.
Until these issues are addressed, we should feel confident using our current generation of crystalline silicon modules. They represent an excellent compromise between efficiency and toxicity, while playing a role in combating human-made climate change.